Pideya Learning Academy

Petroleum Economics and Risk Analysis Strategies

Upcoming Schedules

  • Live Online Training
  • Classroom Training

Date Venue Duration Fee (USD)
11 Aug - 20 Aug 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
08 Sep - 17 Sep 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
17 Nov - 26 Nov 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
22 Dec - 31 Dec 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
13 Jan - 22 Jan 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
17 Feb - 26 Feb 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
12 May - 21 May 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250
30 Jun - 09 Jul 2025 Live Online 10 Day 5250

Course Overview

The oil and gas industry operates in a highly volatile environment, where economic viability and risk management are critical to project success. Petroleum Economics and Risk Analysis Strategies is a comprehensive course that combines Economic and Risk Analysis for Petroleum Projects with Petroleum Economics for Strategic Decision-Making, equipping professionals with the expertise to evaluate investments, mitigate risks, and optimize profitability in upstream and downstream operations.
According to McKinsey & Company (2023), over 70% of oil and gas projects exceed their initial budgets, with nearly 40% facing delays due to economic miscalculations. Additionally, Deloitte’s 2024 Energy Outlook highlights that companies employing advanced risk assessment techniques achieve 15-20% higher returns on investment (ROI) compared to those relying on traditional valuation methods. This course addresses these challenges by integrating key financial and risk assessment frameworks, including:
Cash Flow Analysis & Economic Indicators: Master NPV, IRR, and payback period calculations to assess project feasibility.
Risk Quantification & Decision Trees: Evaluate uncertainties using Monte Carlo simulations and sensitivity analysis.
Fiscal Regimes & Investment Strategies: Compare production-sharing contracts (PSCs), tax regimes, and royalty structures.
Portfolio Optimization: Balance high-risk exploration projects with stable producing assets.
Spreadsheet Modeling: Develop dynamic economic models for field development scenarios.
Designed for professionals seeking to enhance their strategic decision-making capabilities, this course bridges the gap between theoretical economics and real-world application, ensuring participants can confidently navigate the financial complexities of the petroleum sector.

Course Objectives

By the end of this course, participants will be able to:
Interpret key economic terms and fiscal regimes (PSCs, royalties, taxes) used in petroleum projects.
Construct cash flow models to evaluate project viability under different economic conditions.
Apply economic indicators (NPV, IRR, P/I ratio) to compare investment alternatives.
Quantify risks using probabilistic methods (decision trees, Monte Carlo simulations).
Optimize portfolio strategies by balancing risk and return.
Develop integrated economic models for oil field development and sensitivity analysis.
Contribute to investment decisions with data-driven risk assessments.

Personal Benefits

Participants will acquire:
Advanced Analytical Skills: Proficiency in economic modeling and risk assessment.
Strategic Insight: Ability to align projects with corporate financial goals.
Career Advancement: Expertise in a niche, high-demand area of petroleum economics.
Industry Recognition: Credibility to influence key investment decisions.

Organisational Benefits

Organizations will gain:
Improved Investment Decisions: Reduce costly miscalculations with robust economic models.
Risk Mitigation: Proactively identify and address financial uncertainties in projects.
Regulatory Compliance: Navigate complex fiscal terms (PSCs, taxes) with confidence.
Portfolio Efficiency: Allocate capital to high-return, low-risk assets.
Competitive Advantage: Leverage advanced analytics for strategic bidding and negotiations.

Who Should Attend

This course is ideal for:
Petroleum Economists & Financial Analysts
Reservoir, Production, and Project Engineers
Geoscientists & Exploration Managers
Investment & Portfolio Managers
Government Regulators & Policy Makers
Oil & Gas Executives (CEOs, CFOs, VPs)

Course Outline

Module 1: Fundamentals of Petroleum Economics
Key economic terms in oil & gas Feasibility studies and project screening Inflation adjustments: Nominal vs. real cash flows Sunk costs and incremental project analysis Project financing structures
Module 2: Cash Flow Modeling & Depreciation
Setting up petroleum project cash flows Depreciation methods (straight-line, declining balance) Loss carry-forwards and tax implications Capital vs. operating expenditure allocation
Module 3: Economic Performance Indicators
Time value of money: Present value concepts Discount factor and weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Payback period and profit-to-investment (P/I) ratio Comparing mutually exclusive projects
Module 4: Risk Quantification & Decision Analysis
Risk vs. uncertainty in petroleum projects Expected value theory and decision trees Farm-out decisions and partnership strategies Sensitivity analysis (Spider/Tornado diagrams) Monte Carlo simulations for probabilistic outcomes
Module 5: Advanced Spreadsheet Applications
Building cash flow models in Excel Automating NPV/IRR calculations Scenario manager for sensitivity testing Data visualization for stakeholder reporting
Module 6: Integrated Field Development Economics
Building full-field economic models Russell field model introduction Sensitivity analysis for CAPEX/OPEX variables Portfolio optimization techniques Group case study: Evaluating a marginal field development

Have Any Question?

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